乜嘢令一間Online Agency與眾不同
我花咗幾個月探索點解投資者應該投資online agency,但真正嘅問題唔係邊個niche會贏——而係我哋係咪喺嘗試預測唔可預測嘅嘢。
呢篇文章寫於2009年,部分內容可能已經有變化。
如果你有留意,我最近冇點寫嘢。我花咗好多時間探索點解投資者應該投資或者business owner想set up一間Online agency。Online世界變得太快,真係太快,無論係技術方面定新技術被全球數百萬人採用/使用嘅方式。我想搵嘅係以下問題嘅答案:
- 點解機構投資者/大型network會投資或set up辦公室去提供Online Marketing服務畀廣告商?
- 同commodity products、oil & gas等old money比較,Online Marketing agency嘅潛在returns係乜?
- 乜嘢令一間Online Agency與眾不同?佢點樣留住客戶唔轉去另一間agency?
- 邊種形式嘅Online market service最profitable?係SEM(Paid Search或SEO)定Display Media(arbitrage或做actual media owner)定technology provider(Omniture/DoubleClick)定搜尋引擎/service provider自己(Google/Yahoo/Twitter/Facebook等)
- 點樣由提供嘅服務中真正make a profit?能夠畀客戶提供好嘅service係唔夠嘅,agency/公司明顯需要有一個working model去由嗰啲sales churn out profit
如果對於邊間公司/service long term做得最好有一致結論,我哋係咪應該全部將錢投入或者去嗰間公司做?明顯答案係No。我哋仲未就邊間公司/service long term最profitable達成一致verdict。如果過去10-20年互聯網普及以來我哋都未能做到呢個決定,咩令我哋有信心我哋而家或者未來5年可以做到呢個決定?係因為快速變化嘅Online世界嘅inherent nature?我哋係咪喺嘗試預測唔可預測嘅嘢?
- Microsoft最近推出咗Bing,收到唔少關注,好評多過差評。但Bing可以由consumer同agency嘅standpoint challenge Google嗎?
- Social Media Optimization (SMO)、Mobile Marketing、Online Consultancy Services呢?
如果我apply Phil Fisher、Warren Buffett、Charlie Munger、John Burr Williams、Robert G. Hagstrom嘅teachings,我應該只follow:
- 我理解嘅Online services/technologies
- 搵有consistent operating history、由capable managers with strong integrity管理嘅公司
- 評估公司有冇「durable」long term edge。乜嘢係Online agency嘅「moat」?
定係我哋用咗錯嘅angle去approach呢個問題?唔好嘗試預測行業整體嘅方向,而係focus喺individual company/niche vertical?睇任何10年嘅top 10 agency/公司會唔會有幫助?1970s、1980s、1990s同2000s嘅Top 10?Ok sorry for jumping around,我成日咁...返到「乜嘢令一間Online agency與眾不同」。首先點解我想答呢個問題?因為佢long term很重要,關於:
- 你決定喺邊個Online niche工作?
- 為邊間公司工作?
- 如果你想開自己嘅firm,做邊種service?
- 如果你想投資,應該explore邊個network?定你投資其他行業(old money)或投資service provider/Media owner(Google/Yahoo)會更好
- well,嘗試答呢啲問題對我嚟講好fun :)
我最近喺iMediaConnection發表咗一篇文章「How to Choose an SEM agency」,我喺入面好強調Human Resource(具體嚟講係Staff turnover rate)。然後我喺呢個blog寫咗另一篇「Challenges of Running a SEM firm in South East and North Asia」,簡單提到Paid Search同SEO活動產生嘅gross profit差異。我覺得有好多因素可以令一間agency與眾不同(即long term survival):
- 客戶群嘅breadth?毫無疑問係一個好重要嘅因素。
能夠留住現有客戶(呢個主要係account manager同operation/production team嘅工作)同帶來新客戶(sales team嘅strength)。但household brands嘅current trend係consolidation、budget cut同agency嘅low profit margin。咁agency應該focus喺long tail同service幾百間較細嘅SME?Hopefully increasing size嘅clients係「moat」嘅一部分。
- 擴展到higher profit margin嘅services去避免commoditization?
但build一個team去properly offer某種Online market service需要時間。同時agency需要demonstrate畀客戶知呢個新service可以係一個更cost effective嘅solution去reach客戶嘅objective/target audience。而且邊種service?有太多...
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擴展到hot、buzz technologies/services?Social media optimization、online reputation management、mobile marketing/targeting
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擁有最talented、最respected嘅團隊?但搵到同留住一班talented team members和諧地一齊工作唔容易。
公司culture肯定play a role,而older/more established嘅agency如果一開始就有good culture可能有advantage。
- Focus喺operating profitability by streamlining processes、cutting cost?
Long term我估agency嘅大部分cost會係employee salary/executive remuneration。Working process/model唔容易build因為每個region都唔同。佢同樣需要leadership/time去至少customize一個successful working model去suit一個particular region。APJ對我嚟講presents great challenges因為inherent diversity。
- Competition/copycat:毫無疑問,whatever令一間agency short term與眾不同嘅嘢都會被其他agency copy/嘗試copy。呢個同任何其他行業冇分別,產品被copy、talented executive被「偷」...
所以trick係搵到一個edge,一個可以last long term嘅fundamental comparative advantage,成為某件worthwhile嘅嘢嘅leader。我個人仲未搵到上面好多問題嘅答案。呢個好大程度上係因為我raise嘅questions缺乏clarity。但我堅信我哋嘅行業係一個people business。Alrighty,enough「nonsense」from me...如果你有任何嘢想share,一如既往歡迎email我chandlerblog@gmail.com 祝大家週末愉快 Chandler P.S: 地球上大約有十億人需要食物,所以喺星期六朝早起身,嘆杯越南咖啡然後mumble呢啲嘢,真係一種privilege :)