35 posts in this category
Ray Dalio estimates a 35-40% chance of disruptive civil and international wars in the next decade, alongside a 60% probability of major debt restructuring in reserve currencies.
Ray Dalio's latest dialogue reveals surprising GDP predictions for China and a rare optimistic note on US-China relations—if we can avoid military conflict.
Ray Dalio and Kevin Rudd agree on China's shift toward state control, but I found one crucial insight that reveals why foreign investors shouldn't panic yet.
Klein traces how demographic shifts, geographic sorting, and media echo chambers created today's polarized America—a data-driven answer to why we can't talk politics anymore.
Ray Dalio warns we're approaching the war stage of his Big Cycle framework, with highest risk in 2025-26—but how worried should we really be about his prediction?
I distilled PM Lee's candid geopolitical insights that Western media missed—from Taiwan's shifting polls to hard truths both the US and China need to hear.
Kevin Rudd's hardened stance on Xi Jinping's China over five years reveals why U.S.-China conflict isn't inevitable—if we embrace "managed strategic competition."
Dalio maps the U.S. at 70% through its empire cycle—in decline—while China rises, backed by data-rich analysis that reveals far more nuance than headlines suggest.
Ray Dalio's latest chapter reveals unsettling parallels between today and the 1930s-1945 period—from wealth gaps to economic warfare—suggesting the US peaked in the 1950s.
I nearly dismissed Case and Deaton's "Deaths of Despair" research as incomplete—until I verified the data myself and discovered their alarming conclusions were actually understated.
Ray Dalio's 500-year analysis of empire cycles reveals why today's confluence of debt, inequality, and US-China tensions creates unprecedented danger.
COVID-19 won't end until the poorest countries are protected—closed borders and self-sufficiency won't save us when 7 billion people need vaccination.